open access

Abstract

This study assesses the feasibility of a program to secure cereal production in the Saïss plain (Morocco). In a crucial agricultural context of scarce rainfall and climate change, the main objective of this study is to evaluate the program's technical and financial feasibility. The methodology includes estimating wheat producers' willingness to pay for one cubic meter of water using a logit model, a technical analysis of production and irrigation costs, and a thorough financial analysis. The results indicate strong farmer support, with 100% approval and 92% willingness to contribute financially. Total investment is approximately 650 million dirhams, with positive profitability indicators (Internal Rate of Return of approximately 11%, Net Present Value of 708 million dirhams and payback period of seven years), confirming the project's feasibility. Implementing the program could significantly strengthen food security and economic development in the region.

Keywords: cereal sector, food security, security program, feasibility study, Saïss plain, Morocco